Causal mapping and scenario building with multiple organisations
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Scenario Building and its Application
Assessing uncertain futures Perceived uncertainties and risks can be considered to be the main motivation behind ‘Futures Thinking’ or ‘Futures Studies’ to assess potential economic, environmental, social or technical developments and their expected consequences on society and environment (or from a systems perspective – feedbacks between the components of complex social-ecological systems, e.g...
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⁎ Corresponding author. Tel.: +33 6 32 33 62 70. E-mail address: [email protected] (P. Dur 1 Since the early 1980s, the term scenario has been c 2 Herman Kahn (1922–1983), was a physicist and m he co-directed the United States Air Force projects whi a global nuclear war. In 1961, Herman Kahn founded th one of the founders of futures studies, and contributed b The scenario methodwas descr...
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M uch of the information that underpins the challenges facing society today—terrorist activities, global environmental change, natural disasters—is geospatial in nature. An everyday example of key geospatial data is the location of a cell phone user who has dialed 911 in an emergency. In terrorist situations, the origins and destinations of phone calls, travel patterns of individuals, dispersal...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Futures
سال: 2010
ISSN: 0016-3287
DOI: 10.1016/j.futures.2009.11.007